Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.025315 0.027513 0.029812 0.032397 0.035226 0.038228 0.041658
2025-07-20 0.021619 0.024771 0.028258 0.032410 0.037227 0.042647 0.049224
2025-07-27 0.019325 0.023027 0.027298 0.032604 0.039037 0.046607 0.056225
2025-08-03 0.017436 0.021440 0.026219 0.032364 0.040087 0.049513 0.061955
2025-08-10 0.016204 0.020473 0.025719 0.032668 0.041682 0.053041 0.068544
2025-08-17 0.014876 0.019245 0.024749 0.032236 0.042218 0.055158 0.073351
2025-08-24 0.013700 0.018102 0.023777 0.031680 0.042483 0.056852 0.077609
2025-08-31 0.012783 0.017223 0.023069 0.031390 0.043032 0.058893 0.082393
2025-09-07 0.011994 0.016456 0.022446 0.031148 0.043591 0.060927 0.087233
2025-09-14 0.011323 0.015801 0.021924 0.030992 0.044227 0.063062 0.092301
2025-09-21 0.010650 0.015099 0.021287 0.030616 0.044497 0.064651 0.096613
2025-09-28 0.010190 0.014670 0.021005 0.030725 0.045462 0.067280 0.102618
2025-10-05 0.009686 0.014168 0.020618 0.030698 0.046284 0.069840 0.108851
2025-10-12 0.009246 0.013740 0.020318 0.030787 0.047295 0.072763 0.115885
2025-10-19 0.008871 0.013385 0.020102 0.030983 0.048468 0.075989 0.123611
2025-10-26 0.008422 0.012890 0.019640 0.030757 0.048944 0.078110 0.129622
2025-11-02 0.008132 0.012622 0.019512 0.031046 0.050254 0.081644 0.138236
2025-11-09 0.007705 0.012114 0.018976 0.030637 0.050376 0.083198 0.143505
2025-11-16 0.007285 0.011595 0.018393 0.030110 0.050259 0.084323 0.148064
2025-11-23 0.006949 0.011193 0.017976 0.029836 0.050547 0.086143 0.153970
2025-11-30 0.006644 0.010828 0.017601 0.029607 0.050892 0.088067 0.160175
2025-12-07 0.006376 0.010510 0.017285 0.029459 0.051364 0.090231 0.166952
2025-12-14 0.006086 0.010140 0.016865 0.029103 0.051436 0.091665 0.172415